Recent June 2026 core CPI printed flat month-over-month—below the 0.2% consensus—after May’s 0.2% gain, easing the year-over-year rate to 2.6% and supporting trader bets on moderation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for July 2026 core CPI at 0.21% MoM align closely with the market’s leading 0.2% outcome priced near 51% implied probability. Broader cooling in shelter, energy, and goods categories, alongside stable labor-market data, has anchored expectations around the 0.1–0.3% range ahead of the August 12 BLS release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.2% 51.0%
0.3% 25.1%
0.1% 21.2%
≤0.0% 2.9%
$84,931 Vol.
$84,931 Vol.
≤0.0%
3%
0.1%
21%
0.2%
51%
0.3%
25%
0.4%
1%
0.5%
1%
0.6%以上
2%
0.2% 51.0%
0.3% 25.1%
0.1% 21.2%
≤0.0% 2.9%
$84,931 Vol.
$84,931 Vol.
≤0.0%
3%
0.1%
21%
0.2%
51%
0.3%
25%
0.4%
1%
0.5%
1%
0.6%以上
2%
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日: Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 core CPI printed flat month-over-month—below the 0.2% consensus—after May’s 0.2% gain, easing the year-over-year rate to 2.6% and supporting trader bets on moderation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for July 2026 core CPI at 0.21% MoM align closely with the market’s leading 0.2% outcome priced near 51% implied probability. Broader cooling in shelter, energy, and goods categories, alongside stable labor-market data, has anchored expectations around the 0.1–0.3% range ahead of the August 12 BLS release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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