Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 65-89 posts (48.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 13-15, driven by his recent pace of around 22 posts per day, as tracked by xTracker data showing 22 on April 11 alone amid steady mid-20s averages over the past week. This positions the bracket as the skin-in-the-game favorite, reflecting a moderation from 2024-2025 election spikes exceeding 60-100 daily amid political fervor, toward more routine engagement on viral topics like urban crime waves, DEI critiques, and SpaceX Raptor engine showcases. No major catalysts in the last 48 hours have spiked volume, but workweek dynamics—potentially amplified by Starship Flight 12 prep or Tesla announcements—could nudge toward 90+ if public discourse heats up, while quieter periods keep 40-64 viable at 29%. Markets highlight Elon's enduring pop culture pull, where real-time replies fuel outsized engagement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日65～89 49%
40～64 29%
90〜114 15%
115〜139 3.6%
新規
$41,283 Vol.
新規
$41,283 Vol.
2026/04/15
40未満
2%
40～64
29%
65～89
49%
90〜114
15%
115〜139
4%
140〜164
1%
165〜189
1%
190〜214
<1%
215～239
<1%
240以上
<1%
65～89 49%
40～64 29%
90〜114 15%
115〜139 3.6%
新規
$41,283 Vol.
新規
$41,283 Vol.
2026/04/15
40未満
$4,207 Vol.
2%
40～64
$767 Vol.
29%
65～89
$2,402 Vol.
49%
90〜114
$3,287 Vol.
15%
115〜139
$1,317 Vol.
4%
140〜164
$1,009 Vol.
1%
165〜189
$4,957 Vol.
1%
190〜214
$8,047 Vol.
<1%
215～239
$10,366 Vol.
<1%
240以上
$4,924 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 65-89 posts (48.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 13-15, driven by his recent pace of around 22 posts per day, as tracked by xTracker data showing 22 on April 11 alone amid steady mid-20s averages over the past week. This positions the bracket as the skin-in-the-game favorite, reflecting a moderation from 2024-2025 election spikes exceeding 60-100 daily amid political fervor, toward more routine engagement on viral topics like urban crime waves, DEI critiques, and SpaceX Raptor engine showcases. No major catalysts in the last 48 hours have spiked volume, but workweek dynamics—potentially amplified by Starship Flight 12 prep or Tesla announcements—could nudge toward 90+ if public discourse heats up, while quieter periods keep 40-64 viable at 29%. Markets highlight Elon's enduring pop culture pull, where real-time replies fuel outsized engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$41,283終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 65-89 posts (48.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 13-15, driven by his recent pace of around 22 posts per day, as tracked by xTracker data showing 22 on April 11 alone amid steady mid-20s averages over the past week. This positions the bracket as the skin-in-the-game favorite, reflecting a moderation from 2024-2025 election spikes exceeding 60-100 daily amid political fervor, toward more routine engagement on viral topics like urban crime waves, DEI critiques, and SpaceX Raptor engine showcases. No major catalysts in the last 48 hours have spiked volume, but workweek dynamics—potentially amplified by Starship Flight 12 prep or Tesla announcements—could nudge toward 90+ if public discourse heats up, while quieter periods keep 40-64 viable at 29%. Markets highlight Elon's enduring pop culture pull, where real-time replies fuel outsized engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$41,283終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 65-89 posts (48.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk's X activity from April 13-15, driven by his recent pace of around 22 posts per day, as tracked by xTracker data showing 22 on April 11 alone amid steady mid-20s averages over the past week. This positions the bracket as the skin-in-the-game favorite, reflecting a moderation from 2024-2025 election spikes exceeding 60-100 daily amid political fervor, toward more routine engagement on viral topics like urban crime waves, DEI critiques, and SpaceX Raptor engine showcases. No major catalysts in the last 48 hours have spiked volume, but workweek dynamics—potentially amplified by Starship Flight 12 prep or Tesla announcements—could nudge toward 90+ if public discourse heats up, while quieter periods keep 40-64 viable at 29%. Markets highlight Elon's enduring pop culture pull, where real-time replies fuel outsized engagement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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