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icon for トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？
政治·文化

トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？

icon for トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？
政治·文化

トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？

Ended: 4月 30

7月 31

Ended: 4月 30

7月 31

$852,266 Vol.

2026/04/11
Polymarket

$852,266 Vol.

Polymarket

4月11日

$8,410 Vol.

はい

4月12日

$11,454 Vol.

はい

4月13日

$21,179 Vol.

はい

4月14日

$20,227 Vol.

はい

4月15日

$16,568 Vol.

はい

4月16日

$9,540 Vol.

はい

4月17日

$23,030 Vol.

はい

4月18日

$44,676 Vol.

はい

4月19日

$23,073 Vol.

いいえ

4月20日

$67,874 Vol.

はい

4月21日

$66,083 Vol.

はい

4月22日

$38,667 Vol.

はい

4月23日

$58,054 Vol.

はい

4月24日

$48,335 Vol.

はい

4月25日

$45,263 Vol.

はい

4月26日

$191,666 Vol.

はい

4月27日

$34,212 Vol.

はい

4月28日

$86,464 Vol.

いいえ

4月29日

$21,415 Vol.

はい

4月30日

$16,073 Vol.

はい

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of public name-calling via Truth Social and speeches continues to shape trader consensus in this market, with recent examples including his April 22 attack on Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson as "low IQ," sharp rebukes of MAGA influencers like Tucker Carlson opposing his Iran policy as "losers" and "stupid," and calls for Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment three days ago. These followed his April 12 insults against Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal and weak on crime," amid backlash from Catholic leaders. No confirmed public insults emerged in the last 48 hours, despite ongoing media scrutiny from the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident and Iran tensions, but policy announcements or rally appearances could trigger renewed rhetoric before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$852,266
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of public name-calling via Truth Social and speeches continues to shape trader consensus in this market, with recent examples including his April 22 attack on Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson as "low IQ," sharp rebukes of MAGA influencers like Tucker Carlson opposing his Iran policy as "losers" and "stupid," and calls for Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment three days ago. These followed his April 12 insults against Pope Leo XIV as "too liberal and weak on crime," amid backlash from Catholic leaders. No confirmed public insults emerged in the last 48 hours, despite ongoing media scrutiny from the White House Correspondents' Dinner incident and Iran tensions, but policy announcements or rally appearances could trigger renewed rhetoric before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$852,266
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？」はPolymarket上の20個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「4月11日」で100%、次いで「4月12日」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？」は$852.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 10, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている20個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「4月11日」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「4月12日」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプは誰かを公然と侮辱しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。