Traders have converged on an 18°C high for Cape Town on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from regional models showing stable winter conditions with light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no incoming cold fronts or berg wind warming. June climatology supports this outcome, with typical daily maxima near 16–18°C and minimal day-to-day variability absent strong synoptic shifts. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance remain tightly clustered around this value through the afternoon peak. Only an unanticipated late-day change in wind direction or rapid cloud buildup could realistically alter the maximum, though such developments remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 5?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$43,228 Vol.
$43,228 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$43,228 Vol.
$43,228 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 3, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders have converged on an 18°C high for Cape Town on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from regional models showing stable winter conditions with light easterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and no incoming cold fronts or berg wind warming. June climatology supports this outcome, with typical daily maxima near 16–18°C and minimal day-to-day variability absent strong synoptic shifts. Current surface observations and ensemble guidance remain tightly clustered around this value through the afternoon peak. Only an unanticipated late-day change in wind direction or rapid cloud buildup could realistically alter the maximum, though such developments remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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