Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Dallas on August 3 shows afternoon highs centered near 99–101°F under persistent high pressure, light winds, and strong diurnal heating typical of North Texas summer conditions. This forecast consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 98–103°F bins, with the 100–101°F outcome leading at 36 percent. Minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer moisture keeps 98–99°F and 102–103°F viable at roughly 29–28 percent each, while probabilities drop sharply above 104°F or below 98°F given climatological baselines and the absence of stronger cooling or amplifying factors in the latest runs. Updated model outputs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria based on official Dallas-Fort Worth airport readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のダラスの最高気温は？
8月3日のダラスの最高気温は？
100-101°F 35%
98-99°F 30%
102-103°F 28%
96-97°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
95°F or below
2%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
30%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
28%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 35%
98-99°F 30%
102-103°F 28%
96-97°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
95°F or below
$25 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$237 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$301 Vol.
30%
100-101°F
$191 Vol.
35%
102-103°F
$79 Vol.
28%
104-105°F
$55 Vol.
6%
106-107°F
$125 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$48 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$25 Vol.
2%
112-113°F
$20 Vol.
2%
114°F or higher
$178 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Dallas on August 3 shows afternoon highs centered near 99–101°F under persistent high pressure, light winds, and strong diurnal heating typical of North Texas summer conditions. This forecast consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 98–103°F bins, with the 100–101°F outcome leading at 36 percent. Minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer moisture keeps 98–99°F and 102–103°F viable at roughly 29–28 percent each, while probabilities drop sharply above 104°F or below 98°F given climatological baselines and the absence of stronger cooling or amplifying factors in the latest runs. Updated model outputs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria based on official Dallas-Fort Worth airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$1,284終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Dallas on August 3 shows afternoon highs centered near 99–101°F under persistent high pressure, light winds, and strong diurnal heating typical of North Texas summer conditions. This forecast consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 98–103°F bins, with the 100–101°F outcome leading at 36 percent. Minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer moisture keeps 98–99°F and 102–103°F viable at roughly 29–28 percent each, while probabilities drop sharply above 104°F or below 98°F given climatological baselines and the absence of stronger cooling or amplifying factors in the latest runs. Updated model outputs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria based on official Dallas-Fort Worth airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,284終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Dallas on August 3 shows afternoon highs centered near 99–101°F under persistent high pressure, light winds, and strong diurnal heating typical of North Texas summer conditions. This forecast consensus supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 98–103°F bins, with the 100–101°F outcome leading at 36 percent. Minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer moisture keeps 98–99°F and 102–103°F viable at roughly 29–28 percent each, while probabilities drop sharply above 104°F or below 98°F given climatological baselines and the absence of stronger cooling or amplifying factors in the latest runs. Updated model outputs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria based on official Dallas-Fort Worth airport readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問