Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月22日の香港の最高気温は?
29°C 100.0%
21℃以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$581,636 Vol.
$581,636 Vol.
21℃以下
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29°C
はい
30℃
いいえ
31℃以上
いいえ
29°C 100.0%
21℃以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$581,636 Vol.
$581,636 Vol.
21℃以下
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29°C
はい
30℃
いいえ
31℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement of 29.4°C as the maximum air temperature at its King’s Park station on April 22, 2026, drives the market's 100% implied probability on the 29°C outcome, reflecting verified observational data amid mostly sunny conditions with zero rainfall. This aligns with seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal temperatures for April, influenced by persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, which allowed daytime heating to exceed the monthly average maximum of around 25°C. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies post-event, as HKO records are authoritative and rarely revised; only an extraordinary data correction from instrumentation error could challenge it, though historical precedents show such instances are negligible.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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