Persistent high pressure building over Texas under a strengthening heat dome has driven recent forecast consensus toward a mid-to-upper 90s peak in Houston today, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 96-97°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and model runs indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise limit solar heating, with afternoon temperatures expected near 97-99°F inland before any sea breeze influence. This setup follows several days of similar conditions, where highs have consistently reached the mid-90s amid above-normal August warmth. Traders appear to discount a full 100°F push due to typical coastal moderation and the narrow window before evening cooling, while assigning limited probability to cooler outcomes absent unexpected moisture or stronger onshore flow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
8月16日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 23%
98-99°F 21%
92-93°F 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
23%
96-97°F
54%
98-99°F
21%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F以上
<1%
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 23%
98-99°F 21%
92-93°F 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
87°F or below
$44 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$643 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$239 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$402 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$663 Vol.
23%
96-97°F
$1,475 Vol.
54%
98-99°F
$380 Vol.
21%
100-101°F
$236 Vol.
4%
102-103°F
$167 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$56 Vol.
<1%
106°F以上
$658 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure building over Texas under a strengthening heat dome has driven recent forecast consensus toward a mid-to-upper 90s peak in Houston today, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 96-97°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and model runs indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise limit solar heating, with afternoon temperatures expected near 97-99°F inland before any sea breeze influence. This setup follows several days of similar conditions, where highs have consistently reached the mid-90s amid above-normal August warmth. Traders appear to discount a full 100°F push due to typical coastal moderation and the narrow window before evening cooling, while assigning limited probability to cooler outcomes absent unexpected moisture or stronger onshore flow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
音量
$4,962終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure building over Texas under a strengthening heat dome has driven recent forecast consensus toward a mid-to-upper 90s peak in Houston today, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 96-97°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and model runs indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise limit solar heating, with afternoon temperatures expected near 97-99°F inland before any sea breeze influence. This setup follows several days of similar conditions, where highs have consistently reached the mid-90s amid above-normal August warmth. Traders appear to discount a full 100°F push due to typical coastal moderation and the narrow window before evening cooling, while assigning limited probability to cooler outcomes absent unexpected moisture or stronger onshore flow.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,962終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETPersistent high pressure building over Texas under a strengthening heat dome has driven recent forecast consensus toward a mid-to-upper 90s peak in Houston today, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 96-97°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and model runs indicate mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise limit solar heating, with afternoon temperatures expected near 97-99°F inland before any sea breeze influence. This setup follows several days of similar conditions, where highs have consistently reached the mid-90s amid above-normal August warmth. Traders appear to discount a full 100°F push due to typical coastal moderation and the narrow window before evening cooling, while assigning limited probability to cooler outcomes absent unexpected moisture or stronger onshore flow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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