Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 72-73°F (33.5%) and 70-71°F (29.5%) for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 17, mirroring National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 72°F at LAX amid typical mid-spring marine layer stratus and onshore breezes delaying inland warming. Latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles show minimal spread of 70-74°F, consistent with April climatological normals of 72°F, following resolution of minor spring shower risks earlier this month that had briefly cooled trends. Prolonged morning low clouds favor the lower bin, while early burn-off and ridge strengthening could lift toward 74-75°F (14.5%); monitor NWS 12z updates and afternoon observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 17?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 17?
72-73°F 33%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 8.3%
$18,375 Vol.
$18,375 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 33%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 8.3%
$18,375 Vol.
$18,375 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 72-73°F (33.5%) and 70-71°F (29.5%) for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 17, mirroring National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 72°F at LAX amid typical mid-spring marine layer stratus and onshore breezes delaying inland warming. Latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles show minimal spread of 70-74°F, consistent with April climatological normals of 72°F, following resolution of minor spring shower risks earlier this month that had briefly cooled trends. Prolonged morning low clouds favor the lower bin, while early burn-off and ridge strengthening could lift toward 74-75°F (14.5%); monitor NWS 12z updates and afternoon observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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