Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Lucknow's diurnal maximum temperature on March 29, with implied odds favoring 34°C or below (31%) ahead of 36°C (28.5%) and 35°C (25%), driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting 34–36°C amid typical late-March pre-monsoon conditions. Recent observations show daytime highs stabilizing around 34°C over the past week, tempered by light northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover reducing solar insolation, while ensemble models like GFS indicate slight intensification potential from clearer skies. Historical March averages hover at 33–35°C, but daily variability from urban heat island effects and localized humidity differentiates outcomes; watch IMD's evening update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月29日のラクナウの最高気温は?
3月29日のラクナウの最高気温は?
34℃以下 31%
36℃ 28%
35°C 25%
37℃ 12%
34℃以下
31%
35°C
25%
36℃
28%
37℃
12%
38℃
6%
39°C
3%
40℃
2%
41℃
1%
42°C
1%
43℃
1%
44℃以上
1%
34℃以下 31%
36℃ 28%
35°C 25%
37℃ 12%
34℃以下
31%
35°C
25%
36℃
28%
37℃
12%
38℃
6%
39°C
3%
40℃
2%
41℃
1%
42°C
1%
43℃
1%
44℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Lucknow's diurnal maximum temperature on March 29, with implied odds favoring 34°C or below (31%) ahead of 36°C (28.5%) and 35°C (25%), driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting 34–36°C amid typical late-March pre-monsoon conditions. Recent observations show daytime highs stabilizing around 34°C over the past week, tempered by light northeasterly winds and partial cloud cover reducing solar insolation, while ensemble models like GFS indicate slight intensification potential from clearer skies. Historical March averages hover at 33–35°C, but daily variability from urban heat island effects and localized humidity differentiates outcomes; watch IMD's evening update for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問