Trader consensus for the Manila highest temperature market on May 19 has aligned overwhelmingly on 32°C or higher, driven by official observations confirming daytime maxima well above this threshold amid typical late-spring conditions. Manila’s tropical location experiences peak solar heating in May during the transition from the northeast monsoon, with long-term records from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration showing mean highs of 33–35°C and frequent exceedances of 32°C. These patterns, reinforced by recent regional temperature data, leave little room for lower outcomes under current atmospheric stability. Only an unusual surge in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or measurement revision from the primary station could shift the result, though no such developments have been indicated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on May 19?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,300 Vol.
$1,300 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,300 Vol.
$1,300 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 19, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus for the Manila highest temperature market on May 19 has aligned overwhelmingly on 32°C or higher, driven by official observations confirming daytime maxima well above this threshold amid typical late-spring conditions. Manila’s tropical location experiences peak solar heating in May during the transition from the northeast monsoon, with long-term records from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration showing mean highs of 33–35°C and frequent exceedances of 32°C. These patterns, reinforced by recent regional temperature data, leave little room for lower outcomes under current atmospheric stability. Only an unusual surge in cloud cover, heavy precipitation, or measurement revision from the primary station could shift the result, though no such developments have been indicated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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