Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 27°C or higher in Mexico City today, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting maxima of 31–34°C amid an intensifying heat wave affecting the region. Clear skies, persistent high-pressure systems, and dry-season conditions—typical for late April, when average highs hover around 26–28°C—support rapid daytime heating at Benito Juárez International Airport's official station, the market's resolution source. Recent observations confirm the trend, with yesterday's highs exceeding 30°C. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover, gusty winds, or unforecasted showers shifting steering patterns, though model consensus shows low probability before evening cooldowns. Hourly SMN updates will refine this as the day unfolds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月28日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
27℃以上 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18℃ <1%
19°C <1%
$44,677 Vol.
$44,677 Vol.
17℃以下
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃以上
はい
27℃以上 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18℃ <1%
19°C <1%
$44,677 Vol.
$44,677 Vol.
17℃以下
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃以上
はい
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 27°C or higher in Mexico City today, with market-implied odds at 100%, driven by official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projecting maxima of 31–34°C amid an intensifying heat wave affecting the region. Clear skies, persistent high-pressure systems, and dry-season conditions—typical for late April, when average highs hover around 26–28°C—support rapid daytime heating at Benito Juárez International Airport's official station, the market's resolution source. Recent observations confirm the trend, with yesterday's highs exceeding 30°C. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover, gusty winds, or unforecasted showers shifting steering patterns, though model consensus shows low probability before evening cooldowns. Hourly SMN updates will refine this as the day unfolds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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