Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–25 °C in Paris on August 30 under predominantly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooling trend from mid-August heat, aligning with the long-term August average high of 24 °C. Forecast consistency across sources supports the market's concentration on 24 °C (38% implied probability) and 25 °C (26%), with lower odds on outliers reflecting typical model spread and limited potential for rapid intensification or suppression under current synoptic patterns. Updated model guidance through the weekend will be the key near-term driver.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のパリの最高気温は？
8月30日のパリの最高気温は？
24°C 47%
25°C 26%
23°C 19%
22°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
11%
23°C
19%
24°C
38%
25°C
26%
26°C
10%
27°C or higher
7%
24°C 47%
25°C 26%
23°C 19%
22°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$14 Vol.
38%
25°C
$3 Vol.
26%
26°C
$11 Vol.
10%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–25 °C in Paris on August 30 under predominantly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooling trend from mid-August heat, aligning with the long-term August average high of 24 °C. Forecast consistency across sources supports the market's concentration on 24 °C (38% implied probability) and 25 °C (26%), with lower odds on outliers reflecting typical model spread and limited potential for rapid intensification or suppression under current synoptic patterns. Updated model guidance through the weekend will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$28終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–25 °C in Paris on August 30 under predominantly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooling trend from mid-August heat, aligning with the long-term August average high of 24 °C. Forecast consistency across sources supports the market's concentration on 24 °C (38% implied probability) and 25 °C (26%), with lower odds on outliers reflecting typical model spread and limited potential for rapid intensification or suppression under current synoptic patterns. Updated model guidance through the weekend will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$28終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 23–25 °C in Paris on August 30 under predominantly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwesterly winds, and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooling trend from mid-August heat, aligning with the long-term August average high of 24 °C. Forecast consistency across sources supports the market's concentration on 24 °C (38% implied probability) and 25 °C (26%), with lower odds on outliers reflecting typical model spread and limited potential for rapid intensification or suppression under current synoptic patterns. Updated model guidance through the weekend will be the key near-term driver.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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