Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月25日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
6月25日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
24°C 100.0%
17°C以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19℃ <1%
$43,153 Vol.
$43,153 Vol.
2026/06/25
17°C以下
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
はい
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C以上
いいえ
24°C 100.0%
17°C以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19℃ <1%
$43,153 Vol.
$43,153 Vol.
2026/06/25
17°C以下
$3,838 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$2,049 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$1,896 Vol.
いいえ
20℃
$3,443 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$1,839 Vol.
いいえ
22°C
$3,181 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$13,376 Vol.
いいえ
24°C
$5,018 Vol.
はい
25℃
$4,829 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$1,394 Vol.
いいえ
27°C以上
$2,290 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
音量
$43,153終了日
2026/06/25マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$43,153終了日
2026/06/25マーケット開始日
Jun 23, 2026, 9:08 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate consistently point to a Mexico City high of 22–24°C on June 25, 2026, with scattered showers and northeasterly flow limiting peak heating. Traders price these outcomes closely (22–24°C capturing over 67% implied probability) because of typical model spread in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico during the early rainy season, where afternoon convection and cloud cover can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky potential. Developing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 anomalies near +0.7°C, favor slightly above-climatological warmth (June average highs ~24°C), yet localized moisture and orographic effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C as the narrow leader. Official measurements from Mexico City stations will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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