Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 33°C (33% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG station) in Panama City, Panama, on April 17, driven by the latest seasonal forecast guidance projecting diurnal highs near 32–34°C under a persistent subtropical ridge limiting convective activity. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours, including ECMWF and GFS analogs, show consensus for abundant sunshine and low humidity boosting afternoon heating, though isolated thunderstorms remain a risk that could cap peaks at 32°C (22.5%) or lower. Key variables include sea breeze timing, cloud cover development, and convective available potential energy (CAPE); historical April averages hover at 31–32°C, with upper outliers to 35°C possible in clear conditions. Updated hourly forecasts from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología expected by evening could refine odds before resolution via Wunderground data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
4月17日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
33℃ 34%
32℃ 24%
34°C 18%
35℃ 13%
$10,266 Vol.
$10,266 Vol.
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
2%
31℃
5%
32℃
24%
33℃
34%
34°C
18%
35℃
13%
36℃
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C以上
<1%
33℃ 34%
32℃ 24%
34°C 18%
35℃ 13%
$10,266 Vol.
$10,266 Vol.
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
2%
31℃
5%
32℃
24%
33℃
34%
34°C
18%
35℃
13%
36℃
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 33°C (33% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG station) in Panama City, Panama, on April 17, driven by the latest seasonal forecast guidance projecting diurnal highs near 32–34°C under a persistent subtropical ridge limiting convective activity. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours, including ECMWF and GFS analogs, show consensus for abundant sunshine and low humidity boosting afternoon heating, though isolated thunderstorms remain a risk that could cap peaks at 32°C (22.5%) or lower. Key variables include sea breeze timing, cloud cover development, and convective available potential energy (CAPE); historical April averages hover at 31–32°C, with upper outliers to 35°C possible in clear conditions. Updated hourly forecasts from Panama's Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología expected by evening could refine odds before resolution via Wunderground data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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