Traders see 33–34°C as the most likely range for Panama City’s August 3 maximum because ensemble model guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with moderate instability and scattered afternoon convection that limits extreme heating. In Panama’s tropical climate, the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains high humidity and cloud cover, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light steering winds favor highs clustered around the 32°C August climatological average. Minor differences among the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as timing and coverage of thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave ridging that could briefly enhance insolation. With resolution depending on official station readings, the tight spread among probabilities reflects uncertainty in these small-scale variables just 24 hours ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
33°C 38%
34°C 34%
32°C 23%
31°C 7%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29℃
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C
38%
34°C
34%
35℃
3%
36°C
1%
37°C以上
1%
33°C 38%
34°C 34%
32°C 23%
31°C 7%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29℃
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
23%
33°C
38%
34°C
34%
35℃
3%
36°C
1%
37°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see 33–34°C as the most likely range for Panama City’s August 3 maximum because ensemble model guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with moderate instability and scattered afternoon convection that limits extreme heating. In Panama’s tropical climate, the Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains high humidity and cloud cover, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and light steering winds favor highs clustered around the 32°C August climatological average. Minor differences among the leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as timing and coverage of thunderstorms, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave ridging that could briefly enhance insolation. With resolution depending on official station readings, the tight spread among probabilities reflects uncertainty in these small-scale variables just 24 hours ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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