Trader consensus favors 68-69°F at 39.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting sunny skies with highs near 69°F under light north winds of 5-10 mph. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing a persistent upper-level ridge weakening the typical marine layer influence, allowing for above-normal warmth amid reduced onshore flow—San Francisco's April climatological high averages 66°F at the airport. Recent record highs on April 4-5 signal an ongoing warm pattern, though morning fog persistence remains a key uncertainty that could cap peaks at 66-67°F (22%). Watch for NWS updates this afternoon as burn-off timing clarifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
68-69°F 41%
66-67°F 23%
64-65°F 16%
70-71°F 13%
新規
$20,240 Vol.
新規
$20,240 Vol.
2026/04/17
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 41%
66-67°F 23%
64-65°F 16%
70-71°F 13%
新規
$20,240 Vol.
新規
$20,240 Vol.
2026/04/17
57°F or below
$1,772 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$2,260 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$3,441 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,233 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$1,073 Vol.
16%
66-67°F
$1,049 Vol.
22%
68-69°F
$2,754 Vol.
41%
70-71°F
$1,634 Vol.
13%
72-73°F
$1,375 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$1,616 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$2,032 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 68-69°F at 39.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting sunny skies with highs near 69°F under light north winds of 5-10 mph. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing a persistent upper-level ridge weakening the typical marine layer influence, allowing for above-normal warmth amid reduced onshore flow—San Francisco's April climatological high averages 66°F at the airport. Recent record highs on April 4-5 signal an ongoing warm pattern, though morning fog persistence remains a key uncertainty that could cap peaks at 66-67°F (22%). Watch for NWS updates this afternoon as burn-off timing clarifies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
音量
$20,240終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 68-69°F at 39.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting sunny skies with highs near 69°F under light north winds of 5-10 mph. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing a persistent upper-level ridge weakening the typical marine layer influence, allowing for above-normal warmth amid reduced onshore flow—San Francisco's April climatological high averages 66°F at the airport. Recent record highs on April 4-5 signal an ongoing warm pattern, though morning fog persistence remains a key uncertainty that could cap peaks at 66-67°F (22%). Watch for NWS updates this afternoon as burn-off timing clarifies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$20,240終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETTrader consensus favors 68-69°F at 39.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting sunny skies with highs near 69°F under light north winds of 5-10 mph. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing a persistent upper-level ridge weakening the typical marine layer influence, allowing for above-normal warmth amid reduced onshore flow—San Francisco's April climatological high averages 66°F at the airport. Recent record highs on April 4-5 signal an ongoing warm pattern, though morning fog persistence remains a key uncertainty that could cap peaks at 66-67°F (22%). Watch for NWS updates this afternoon as burn-off timing clarifies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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