Official observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm a maximum temperature of 62°F on April 24, 2026—the highest reached around noon—driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 62-63°F outcome, as traders aligned with verified data from Weather Underground and National Weather Service records. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, while moderate onshore winds advected cool Pacific air, matching NWS forecast model consensus for low-60s peaks amid typical April climatology (historical average high ~63°F). With measurements finalized to whole degrees Fahrenheit, realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions by NOAA observers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 24?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 24?
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$60,772 Vol.
$60,772 Vol.
2026/04/24
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$60,772 Vol.
$60,772 Vol.
2026/04/24
47°F or below
$922 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,530 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,137 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$1,170 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$4,278 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$7,532 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$5,627 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$4,602 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$14,628 Vol.
Yes
64-65°F
$9,184 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$10,161 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm a maximum temperature of 62°F on April 24, 2026—the highest reached around noon—driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 62-63°F outcome, as traders aligned with verified data from Weather Underground and National Weather Service records. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, while moderate onshore winds advected cool Pacific air, matching NWS forecast model consensus for low-60s peaks amid typical April climatology (historical average high ~63°F). With measurements finalized to whole degrees Fahrenheit, realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions by NOAA observers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$60,772終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm a maximum temperature of 62°F on April 24, 2026—the highest reached around noon—driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 62-63°F outcome, as traders aligned with verified data from Weather Underground and National Weather Service records. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, while moderate onshore winds advected cool Pacific air, matching NWS forecast model consensus for low-60s peaks amid typical April climatology (historical average high ~63°F). With measurements finalized to whole degrees Fahrenheit, realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions by NOAA observers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$60,772終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Apr 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm a maximum temperature of 62°F on April 24, 2026—the highest reached around noon—driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 62-63°F outcome, as traders aligned with verified data from Weather Underground and National Weather Service records. Persistent marine layer stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, while moderate onshore winds advected cool Pacific air, matching NWS forecast model consensus for low-60s peaks amid typical April climatology (historical average high ~63°F). With measurements finalized to whole degrees Fahrenheit, realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-processing revisions by NOAA observers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問