Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature of 70–73°F for San Francisco on August 7, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Typical August climatology features an average high near 69–70°F, with sea-surface temperatures and coastal upwelling suppressing heat buildup; recent ensemble runs show only modest deviations from this baseline absent a stronger offshore ridge. Traders have priced the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins highest because forecast uncertainty remains centered on the strength of the sea breeze and any late-day clearing, while probabilities drop sharply above 75°F given historical rarity and the current lack of extreme-heat signals in NOAA guidance. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
8月7日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
70～71°F 43%
72～73°F 31%
68～69°F 15%
74〜75°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
65°F以下
1%
66〜67°F
3%
68～69°F
15%
70～71°F
43%
72～73°F
31%
74〜75°F
9%
76～77°F
3%
78〜79°F
1%
80～81°F
2%
82〜83°F
<1%
華氏84度以上
<1%
70～71°F 43%
72～73°F 31%
68～69°F 15%
74〜75°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
65°F以下
$35 Vol.
1%
66〜67°F
$786 Vol.
3%
68～69°F
$37 Vol.
15%
70～71°F
$828 Vol.
43%
72～73°F
$29 Vol.
31%
74〜75°F
$128 Vol.
9%
76～77°F
$145 Vol.
3%
78〜79°F
$232 Vol.
1%
80～81°F
$10 Vol.
2%
82〜83°F
$101 Vol.
<1%
華氏84度以上
$406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature of 70–73°F for San Francisco on August 7, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Typical August climatology features an average high near 69–70°F, with sea-surface temperatures and coastal upwelling suppressing heat buildup; recent ensemble runs show only modest deviations from this baseline absent a stronger offshore ridge. Traders have priced the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins highest because forecast uncertainty remains centered on the strength of the sea breeze and any late-day clearing, while probabilities drop sharply above 75°F given historical rarity and the current lack of extreme-heat signals in NOAA guidance. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$2,737終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature of 70–73°F for San Francisco on August 7, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Typical August climatology features an average high near 69–70°F, with sea-surface temperatures and coastal upwelling suppressing heat buildup; recent ensemble runs show only modest deviations from this baseline absent a stronger offshore ridge. Traders have priced the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins highest because forecast uncertainty remains centered on the strength of the sea breeze and any late-day clearing, while probabilities drop sharply above 75°F given historical rarity and the current lack of extreme-heat signals in NOAA guidance. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,737終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature of 70–73°F for San Francisco on August 7, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime warming along the immediate coast. Typical August climatology features an average high near 69–70°F, with sea-surface temperatures and coastal upwelling suppressing heat buildup; recent ensemble runs show only modest deviations from this baseline absent a stronger offshore ridge. Traders have priced the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins highest because forecast uncertainty remains centered on the strength of the sea breeze and any late-day clearing, while probabilities drop sharply above 75°F given historical rarity and the current lack of extreme-heat signals in NOAA guidance. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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