Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with INMET's latest guidance pointing to a 30°C peak under mostly cloudy skies and low afternoon humidity around 30%, boosting implied probabilities for 29°C (28%) and 30°C (22%). Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially reducing solar heating to favor 28°C (20.5%), versus urban heat island amplification and weak N-SE winds allowing breakthroughs to 34°C or higher (19.5%). April climatology averages 26°C highs, but recent warmer patterns persist; official measurements at Congonhas Airport will resolve, with INMET's April 16 update likely to narrow the spread amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
30°C 28%
28°C 28%
29°C 28%
25°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
24°C or below
4%
25°C
17%
26°C
14%
27°C
11%
28°C
28%
29°C
28%
30°C
28%
31°C
16%
32°C
14%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
6%
30°C 28%
28°C 28%
29°C 28%
25°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
24°C or below
$50 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
17%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$0 Vol.
11%
28°C
$0 Vol.
28%
29°C
$0 Vol.
28%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C
$0 Vol.
16%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$63 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with INMET's latest guidance pointing to a 30°C peak under mostly cloudy skies and low afternoon humidity around 30%, boosting implied probabilities for 29°C (28%) and 30°C (22%). Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially reducing solar heating to favor 28°C (20.5%), versus urban heat island amplification and weak N-SE winds allowing breakthroughs to 34°C or higher (19.5%). April climatology averages 26°C highs, but recent warmer patterns persist; official measurements at Congonhas Airport will resolve, with INMET's April 16 update likely to narrow the spread amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$50終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with INMET's latest guidance pointing to a 30°C peak under mostly cloudy skies and low afternoon humidity around 30%, boosting implied probabilities for 29°C (28%) and 30°C (22%). Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially reducing solar heating to favor 28°C (20.5%), versus urban heat island amplification and weak N-SE winds allowing breakthroughs to 34°C or higher (19.5%). April climatology averages 26°C highs, but recent warmer patterns persist; official measurements at Congonhas Airport will resolve, with INMET's April 16 update likely to narrow the spread amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$50終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with INMET's latest guidance pointing to a 30°C peak under mostly cloudy skies and low afternoon humidity around 30%, boosting implied probabilities for 29°C (28%) and 30°C (22%). Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially reducing solar heating to favor 28°C (20.5%), versus urban heat island amplification and weak N-SE winds allowing breakthroughs to 34°C or higher (19.5%). April climatology averages 26°C highs, but recent warmer patterns persist; official measurements at Congonhas Airport will resolve, with INMET's April 16 update likely to narrow the spread amid inherent short-term forecast divergence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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