Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
30°C 100.0%
24°C以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$69,804 Vol.
$69,804 Vol.
24°C以下
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C
はい
31°C
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33°C
いいえ
34°C以上
いいえ
30°C 100.0%
24°C以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$69,804 Vol.
$69,804 Vol.
24°C以下
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26°C
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C
はい
31°C
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33°C
いいえ
34°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport, the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground, recorded a maximum temperature of precisely 30°C on April 17, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability on that outcome as traders await final data confirmation. Dry autumn conditions under a persistent high-pressure system suppressed cloud cover and humidity, enabling daytime heating to this level despite typical April highs averaging 25-26°C at urban stations; airport exposures often yield 2-4°C warmer readings in stable anticyclonic flow. Forecast models from INMET had projected 29-30°C peaks, aligning closely with observations. Realistic challenges would require post-finalization revisions to airport data—highly unlikely given standardized measurement protocols—or discrepancies across secondary stations, but current evidence overwhelmingly supports resolution to 30°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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