The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on 32°C as Tel Aviv's daily high stems from real-time meteorological consensus showing afternoon temperatures peaking at or immediately adjacent to that level under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. Official model guidance and station observations confirm stable subtropical high-pressure dominance typical for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean, with daytime heating driven by strong solar insolation and minimal moisture or frontal interference pushing maxima into the low 30s Celsius. This positioning aligns with historical climatology for the date, where averages hover near 29–31°C. Only an unforecasted increase in low-level cloud cover or a rapid wind shift introducing cooler maritime air could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold before evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
32°C 100.0%
28℃以下 <1%
29℃ <1%
30℃ <1%
$25,589 Vol.
$25,589 Vol.
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
100%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35°C
<1%
36℃
<1%
37℃
<1%
38℃以上
<1%
32°C 100.0%
28℃以下 <1%
29℃ <1%
30℃ <1%
$25,589 Vol.
$25,589 Vol.
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
100%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35°C
<1%
36℃
<1%
37℃
<1%
38℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on 32°C as Tel Aviv's daily high stems from real-time meteorological consensus showing afternoon temperatures peaking at or immediately adjacent to that level under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. Official model guidance and station observations confirm stable subtropical high-pressure dominance typical for mid-September in the eastern Mediterranean, with daytime heating driven by strong solar insolation and minimal moisture or frontal interference pushing maxima into the low 30s Celsius. This positioning aligns with historical climatology for the date, where averages hover near 29–31°C. Only an unforecasted increase in low-level cloud cover or a rapid wind shift introducing cooler maritime air could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold before evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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