**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12 centers on 24°C as the leading outcome at 60.5% implied probability, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models showing overnight lows near that level.** Clear skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure have supported typical radiative cooling under humid conditions, with early morning readings around 24–25°C (76–77°F) across sources like WindBorne and PredictWind. Secondary probabilities for 20–21°C capture model spread and potential for slightly stronger cooling in urban pockets, while probabilities drop sharply above 24°C or below 19°C given the absence of unusual synoptic features or recent temperature anomalies. Official agency guidance and historical September baselines reinforce this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest model runs ahead of final observations for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日のテルアビブの最低気温は?
20℃ 99%
23°C 99%
21°C 98%
19℃以下 48.8%
19℃以下
49%
20℃
99%
21°C
98%
22℃
40%
23°C
99%
24°C
-
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
20℃ 99%
23°C 99%
21°C 98%
19℃以下 48.8%
19℃以下
49%
20℃
99%
21°C
98%
22℃
40%
23°C
99%
24°C
-
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12 centers on 24°C as the leading outcome at 60.5% implied probability, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models showing overnight lows near that level.** Clear skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure have supported typical radiative cooling under humid conditions, with early morning readings around 24–25°C (76–77°F) across sources like WindBorne and PredictWind. Secondary probabilities for 20–21°C capture model spread and potential for slightly stronger cooling in urban pockets, while probabilities drop sharply above 24°C or below 19°C given the absence of unusual synoptic features or recent temperature anomalies. Official agency guidance and historical September baselines reinforce this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest model runs ahead of final observations for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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