**Latest global model ensembles indicate Guangzhou's daily minimum on September 14 will most likely fall between 24–26 °C.** Persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and light northerly flow are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the long-term September average of 24.3 °C. Thunderstorm activity expected through the period adds modest uncertainty to exact cooling rates, while the absence of any strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative window reduces the chance of a sharp drop toward 20 °C. Highs remaining near 31–32 °C further anchor the diurnal range. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest GFS/ECMWF runs and any revisions in boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts that could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の広州の最低気温は?
20°C以下 92%
30℃以上 92%
21°C 39%
22℃ 39%
20°C以下
92%
21°C
39%
22℃
39%
23°C
37%
24℃
22%
25°C
22%
26℃
21%
27℃
39%
28℃
39%
29℃
39%
30℃以上
92%
20°C以下 92%
30℃以上 92%
21°C 39%
22℃ 39%
20°C以下
92%
21°C
39%
22℃
39%
23°C
37%
24℃
22%
25°C
22%
26℃
21%
27℃
39%
28℃
39%
29℃
39%
30℃以上
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Latest global model ensembles indicate Guangzhou's daily minimum on September 14 will most likely fall between 24–26 °C.** Persistent monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and light northerly flow are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near the long-term September average of 24.3 °C. Thunderstorm activity expected through the period adds modest uncertainty to exact cooling rates, while the absence of any strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative window reduces the chance of a sharp drop toward 20 °C. Highs remaining near 31–32 °C further anchor the diurnal range. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest GFS/ECMWF runs and any revisions in boundary-layer moisture or wind forecasts that could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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