Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and elevated dew points near 24–25°C from tropical moisture are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Guangzhou, anchoring the overnight low in the 25–27°C range. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-September sustain high humidity that reduces the diurnal temperature swing, while light easterly winds offer little advection of cooler air. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models converge on a minimum near 25–26°C, consistent with the historical average low of 24.4°C but tempered by current unsettled weather. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because model runs show only modest sensitivity to exact rainfall timing or cloud breaks, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler readings below 24°C that would require clearer skies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の広州の最低気温は?
26℃ 49%
27°C 49%
24℃ 47%
23℃ 10%
20℃以下
1%
21℃
2%
22℃
2%
23℃
10%
24℃
47%
25℃
49%
26℃
49%
27°C
49%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
26℃ 49%
27°C 49%
24℃ 47%
23℃ 10%
20℃以下
1%
21℃
2%
22℃
2%
23℃
10%
24℃
47%
25℃
49%
26℃
49%
27°C
49%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and elevated dew points near 24–25°C from tropical moisture are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across Guangzhou, anchoring the overnight low in the 25–27°C range. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-September sustain high humidity that reduces the diurnal temperature swing, while light easterly winds offer little advection of cooler air. Official forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and local models converge on a minimum near 25–26°C, consistent with the historical average low of 24.4°C but tempered by current unsettled weather. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these outcomes because model runs show only modest sensitivity to exact rainfall timing or cloud breaks, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler readings below 24°C that would require clearer skies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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