**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, 2026, reflecting stable tropical conditions with minimal overnight cooling.** In this equatorial location, persistent high humidity (often 70-90%), cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative heat loss, keeping nighttime lows typically within 24-27°C during September. Official forecasts and recent observations align on an overnight low near 25-26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where the monthly mean minimum hovers around 23-26°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C indicates traders view significant deviation as improbable absent major shifts in atmospheric conditions. Lower outcomes (e.g., 22°C or below) would require atypical clear skies or unusual subsidence, which current model runs and real-time data do not support. Resolution hinges on verified station measurements from sources like the Malaysian Meteorological Department, with any final adjustment possible only from post-day verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のクアラルンプールの最低気温は?
26°C 100%
19℃以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21℃ <1%
$723 Vol.
$723 Vol.
19℃以下
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
はい
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃以上
いいえ
26°C 100%
19℃以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21℃ <1%
$723 Vol.
$723 Vol.
19℃以下
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
はい
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, 2026, reflecting stable tropical conditions with minimal overnight cooling.** In this equatorial location, persistent high humidity (often 70-90%), cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative heat loss, keeping nighttime lows typically within 24-27°C during September. Official forecasts and recent observations align on an overnight low near 25-26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where the monthly mean minimum hovers around 23-26°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C indicates traders view significant deviation as improbable absent major shifts in atmospheric conditions. Lower outcomes (e.g., 22°C or below) would require atypical clear skies or unusual subsidence, which current model runs and real-time data do not support. Resolution hinges on verified station measurements from sources like the Malaysian Meteorological Department, with any final adjustment possible only from post-day verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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