Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 14 clustered around 13–15°C, with light rain or overcast conditions expected to moderate radiative cooling. Variable cloud cover and weak southerly winds limit surface heat loss compared to clear, calm nights, while dew points near 11–12°C support modest cooling before dawn. These factors explain the tight spread among leading outcomes at 13°C, 15°C, and 14°C, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average near 10°C, but current guidance points to milder conditions due to the prevailing air mass. Updated model runs and official observations overnight will provide the key data ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月14日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
11℃ 40%
12°C 40%
19°C以上 39%
16°C 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
9°C以下
37%
10°C
17%
11℃
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
27%
14°C
22%
15°C
23%
16°C
38%
17℃
16%
18°C
14%
19°C以上
39%
11℃ 40%
12°C 40%
19°C以上 39%
16°C 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
9°C以下
$45 Vol.
37%
10°C
$40 Vol.
17%
11℃
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$72 Vol.
23%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17℃
$0 Vol.
16%
18°C
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C以上
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 14 clustered around 13–15°C, with light rain or overcast conditions expected to moderate radiative cooling. Variable cloud cover and weak southerly winds limit surface heat loss compared to clear, calm nights, while dew points near 11–12°C support modest cooling before dawn. These factors explain the tight spread among leading outcomes at 13°C, 15°C, and 14°C, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average near 10°C, but current guidance points to milder conditions due to the prevailing air mass. Updated model runs and official observations overnight will provide the key data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$158終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 14 clustered around 13–15°C, with light rain or overcast conditions expected to moderate radiative cooling. Variable cloud cover and weak southerly winds limit surface heat loss compared to clear, calm nights, while dew points near 11–12°C support modest cooling before dawn. These factors explain the tight spread among leading outcomes at 13°C, 15°C, and 14°C, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average near 10°C, but current guidance points to milder conditions due to the prevailing air mass. Updated model runs and official observations overnight will provide the key data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$158終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 14 clustered around 13–15°C, with light rain or overcast conditions expected to moderate radiative cooling. Variable cloud cover and weak southerly winds limit surface heat loss compared to clear, calm nights, while dew points near 11–12°C support modest cooling before dawn. These factors explain the tight spread among leading outcomes at 13°C, 15°C, and 14°C, as small shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September lows average near 10°C, but current guidance points to milder conditions due to the prevailing air mass. Updated model runs and official observations overnight will provide the key data ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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