**Significant divergence among ensemble forecast members for Moscow's overnight minimum temperature on September 14 drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 5°C or below and 15°C or higher each at 39% probability.** Numerical weather models show notable spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing under a weak pressure gradient, which can either promote strong radiational cooling or limit it through advection of milder air. Recent observations indicate daytime highs near 17–19°C with partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms around an 8°C average low. Traders appear to weigh the potential for clear-sky cooling against warmer scenarios as new model runs and observational data approach.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のモスクワの最低気温は？
9月14日のモスクワの最低気温は？
5℃以下 78%
15℃以上 78%
6℃ 40%
10℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
5℃以下
78%
6℃
40%
7℃
24%
8℃
26%
9℃
22%
10℃
40%
11°C
40%
12℃
18%
13℃
18%
14℃
18%
15℃以上
78%
5℃以下 78%
15℃以上 78%
6℃ 40%
10℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
5℃以下
$0 Vol.
78%
6℃
$0 Vol.
40%
7℃
$0 Vol.
24%
8℃
$0 Vol.
26%
9℃
$0 Vol.
22%
10℃
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12℃
$0 Vol.
18%
13℃
$0 Vol.
18%
14℃
$0 Vol.
18%
15℃以上
$0 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Significant divergence among ensemble forecast members for Moscow's overnight minimum temperature on September 14 drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 5°C or below and 15°C or higher each at 39% probability.** Numerical weather models show notable spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing under a weak pressure gradient, which can either promote strong radiational cooling or limit it through advection of milder air. Recent observations indicate daytime highs near 17–19°C with partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms around an 8°C average low. Traders appear to weigh the potential for clear-sky cooling against warmer scenarios as new model runs and observational data approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Significant divergence among ensemble forecast members for Moscow's overnight minimum temperature on September 14 drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 5°C or below and 15°C or higher each at 39% probability.** Numerical weather models show notable spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing under a weak pressure gradient, which can either promote strong radiational cooling or limit it through advection of milder air. Recent observations indicate daytime highs near 17–19°C with partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms around an 8°C average low. Traders appear to weigh the potential for clear-sky cooling against warmer scenarios as new model runs and observational data approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Significant divergence among ensemble forecast members for Moscow's overnight minimum temperature on September 14 drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 5°C or below and 15°C or higher each at 39% probability.** Numerical weather models show notable spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing under a weak pressure gradient, which can either promote strong radiational cooling or limit it through advection of milder air. Recent observations indicate daytime highs near 17–19°C with partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, consistent with seasonal norms around an 8°C average low. Traders appear to weigh the potential for clear-sky cooling against warmer scenarios as new model runs and observational data approach.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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