**Forecast model spread and maritime moderation drive the closely matched market odds for Istanbul's September 14 low temperature.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show expected overnight minima near 17–19 °C, consistent with September climatology, yet slight differences in predicted wind direction, cloud cover, and radiative cooling create divergence between warmer and cooler scenarios. Northeasterly flows over the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara typically limit extremes by advecting moderated air, while clearer skies or lighter winds could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward the 14 °C threshold or below. Conversely, stronger southerly components or increased cloudiness support minima at or above 20 °C. With resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or pressure changes, traders assign substantial implied probability to both tails while centering most volume around the 17–20 °C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
9月14日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
14℃以下 75%
24℃以上 75%
15℃ 40%
16℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
14℃以下
75%
15℃
40%
16℃
40%
17℃
22%
18°C
31%
19℃
22%
20°C
22%
21℃
19%
22℃
19%
23℃
18%
24℃以上
75%
14℃以下 75%
24℃以上 75%
15℃ 40%
16℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
14℃以下
$0 Vol.
75%
15℃
$0 Vol.
40%
16℃
$0 Vol.
40%
17℃
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$5 Vol.
31%
19℃
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21℃
$0 Vol.
19%
22℃
$0 Vol.
19%
23℃
$0 Vol.
18%
24℃以上
$0 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spread and maritime moderation drive the closely matched market odds for Istanbul's September 14 low temperature.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show expected overnight minima near 17–19 °C, consistent with September climatology, yet slight differences in predicted wind direction, cloud cover, and radiative cooling create divergence between warmer and cooler scenarios. Northeasterly flows over the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara typically limit extremes by advecting moderated air, while clearer skies or lighter winds could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward the 14 °C threshold or below. Conversely, stronger southerly components or increased cloudiness support minima at or above 20 °C. With resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or pressure changes, traders assign substantial implied probability to both tails while centering most volume around the 17–20 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$5終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model spread and maritime moderation drive the closely matched market odds for Istanbul's September 14 low temperature.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show expected overnight minima near 17–19 °C, consistent with September climatology, yet slight differences in predicted wind direction, cloud cover, and radiative cooling create divergence between warmer and cooler scenarios. Northeasterly flows over the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara typically limit extremes by advecting moderated air, while clearer skies or lighter winds could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward the 14 °C threshold or below. Conversely, stronger southerly components or increased cloudiness support minima at or above 20 °C. With resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or pressure changes, traders assign substantial implied probability to both tails while centering most volume around the 17–20 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model spread and maritime moderation drive the closely matched market odds for Istanbul's September 14 low temperature.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show expected overnight minima near 17–19 °C, consistent with September climatology, yet slight differences in predicted wind direction, cloud cover, and radiative cooling create divergence between warmer and cooler scenarios. Northeasterly flows over the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara typically limit extremes by advecting moderated air, while clearer skies or lighter winds could allow greater nocturnal cooling toward the 14 °C threshold or below. Conversely, stronger southerly components or increased cloudiness support minima at or above 20 °C. With resolution hinging on the precise timing of any frontal passage or pressure changes, traders assign substantial implied probability to both tails while centering most volume around the 17–20 °C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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