Forecast consensus from major meteorological models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 31°C high for Zhengzhou on August 15. Official guidance points to partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation, enabling surface heating consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima typically range 29–32°C. This alignment of atmospheric patterns—stable high pressure and moderate humidity—underpins trader confidence, as verified observations and ensemble runs show little deviation from 30–31°C peaks. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud buildup, earlier or heavier showers, or stronger winds that reduce insolation and cap the maximum below the threshold before official verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日の鄭州の最高気温は?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,433 Vol.
$6,433 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,433 Vol.
$6,433 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Forecast consensus from major meteorological models supports the market's near-certain positioning on a 31°C high for Zhengzhou on August 15. Official guidance points to partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation, enabling surface heating consistent with late-summer climatology where daily maxima typically range 29–32°C. This alignment of atmospheric patterns—stable high pressure and moderate humidity—underpins trader confidence, as verified observations and ensemble runs show little deviation from 30–31°C peaks. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud buildup, earlier or heavier showers, or stronger winds that reduce insolation and cap the maximum below the threshold before official verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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