Zhengzhou's mid-August climatology, shaped by East Asian monsoon dynamics and strong solar insolation, routinely produces afternoon highs of 31–33 °C. Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on peak temperatures of 32–33 °C today, driven by southeasterly flow, boundary-layer moisture, and minimal cloud interference that favor heat accumulation. This scientific consensus underpins the market's near-certain pricing of 32 °C or higher. Only a rapid increase in convective cloud cover or unforecast rainfall could realistically hold the daily maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the established synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日の鄭州の最高気温は?
32℃以上 100.0%
22℃以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
$6,205 Vol.
$6,205 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃以上
100%
32℃以上 100.0%
22℃以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24℃ <1%
$6,205 Vol.
$6,205 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃以上
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Zhengzhou's mid-August climatology, shaped by East Asian monsoon dynamics and strong solar insolation, routinely produces afternoon highs of 31–33 °C. Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models converge on peak temperatures of 32–33 °C today, driven by southeasterly flow, boundary-layer moisture, and minimal cloud interference that favor heat accumulation. This scientific consensus underpins the market's near-certain pricing of 32 °C or higher. Only a rapid increase in convective cloud cover or unforecast rainfall could realistically hold the daily maximum below the threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given the established synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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