Strong model consensus from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no points to a high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 31 under clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light northerly winds, with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-August climatology in Henan province and recent observational trends showing daytime maxima frequently exceeding 30°C amid stable high-pressure conditions. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects trader assessment of these verified forecast runs and low uncertainty in steering patterns. An abrupt increase in cloudiness or unforecast frontal activity could temper the peak, though current guidance shows minimal divergence on this outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の鄭州の最高気温は?
32°C or higher 99.7%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.7%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong model consensus from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and Yr.no points to a high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 31 under clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light northerly winds, with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-August climatology in Henan province and recent observational trends showing daytime maxima frequently exceeding 30°C amid stable high-pressure conditions. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher reflects trader assessment of these verified forecast runs and low uncertainty in steering patterns. An abrupt increase in cloudiness or unforecast frontal activity could temper the peak, though current guidance shows minimal divergence on this outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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