Sébastien Lecornu, appointed prime minister in September 2025 and reappointed shortly after a brief resignation, faces renewed pressure heading into the autumn parliamentary session. His government lacks a stable majority in the National Assembly and must secure passage of the 2027 budget, which requires roughly €30 billion in savings amid high public debt and deficit concerns. Opposition parties including La France Insoumise and the Rassemblement National have signaled readiness to file no-confidence motions, while the Socialist Party’s internal primary has reduced prospects for the cross-aisle support that previously helped Lecornu survive censure votes. Recent announcements on tax adjustments, ministerial pay cuts, and a referral over budget leaks have added friction ahead of debates expected to begin by early October. Trader assessments of removal timing reflect these narrow margins for maneuvering before the 2027 presidential cycle intensifies.