**Forecast uncertainty around an approaching weather system is the main driver behind the evenly split market odds for Ankara's lowest temperature on September 23.** Multiple models indicate a cooling trend with possible showers or thunderstorms, producing daytime highs near 19–21°C and overnight lows in the 8–13°C range, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. However, slight differences in the timing of frontal passage, cloud cover, and wind patterns create divergence among ensembles, leaving realistic scenarios for both sub-6°C readings under clear, calm conditions and higher minima near or above 16°C if mixing or delayed cooling occurs. Official guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these projections over the next 48 hours as new model runs become available.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月23日のアンカラの最低気温は?
6℃以下 100%
16℃以上 100%
10℃ 40%
11°C 40%
6℃以下
100%
7℃
39%
8℃
39%
9℃
39%
10℃
40%
11°C
40%
12℃
23%
13℃
39%
14℃
39%
15℃
39%
16℃以上
100%
6℃以下 100%
16℃以上 100%
10℃ 40%
11°C 40%
6℃以下
100%
7℃
39%
8℃
39%
9℃
39%
10℃
40%
11°C
40%
12℃
23%
13℃
39%
14℃
39%
15℃
39%
16℃以上
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast uncertainty around an approaching weather system is the main driver behind the evenly split market odds for Ankara's lowest temperature on September 23.** Multiple models indicate a cooling trend with possible showers or thunderstorms, producing daytime highs near 19–21°C and overnight lows in the 8–13°C range, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. However, slight differences in the timing of frontal passage, cloud cover, and wind patterns create divergence among ensembles, leaving realistic scenarios for both sub-6°C readings under clear, calm conditions and higher minima near or above 16°C if mixing or delayed cooling occurs. Official guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these projections over the next 48 hours as new model runs become available.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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