Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Beijing on September 5 around 20–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and no precipitation, following a period of warming highs near 32–34°C. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed bins, yet market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across warmer (24°C+) and cooler (14°C or below) extremes. The balance likely reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, minor model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and wind, and the potential for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Historical September minima average near 18°C, providing context for the current elevated baseline driven by persistent high pressure. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の北京の最低気温は？
9月5日の北京の最低気温は？
14℃以下 69%
24℃以上 69%
16℃ 49%
20℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
14℃以下
69%
15℃
34%
16℃
49%
17°C
26%
18℃
31%
19℃
31%
20℃
49%
21℃
49%
22℃
2%
23°C
35%
24℃以上
69%
14℃以下 69%
24℃以上 69%
16℃ 49%
20℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/05
14℃以下
$0 Vol.
69%
15℃
$0 Vol.
34%
16℃
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18℃
$0 Vol.
31%
19℃
$0 Vol.
31%
20℃
$0 Vol.
49%
21℃
$0 Vol.
49%
22℃
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24℃以上
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Beijing on September 5 around 20–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and no precipitation, following a period of warming highs near 32–34°C. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed bins, yet market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across warmer (24°C+) and cooler (14°C or below) extremes. The balance likely reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, minor model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and wind, and the potential for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Historical September minima average near 18°C, providing context for the current elevated baseline driven by persistent high pressure. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Beijing on September 5 around 20–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and no precipitation, following a period of warming highs near 32–34°C. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed bins, yet market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across warmer (24°C+) and cooler (14°C or below) extremes. The balance likely reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, minor model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and wind, and the potential for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Historical September minima average near 18°C, providing context for the current elevated baseline driven by persistent high pressure. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Beijing on September 5 around 20–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and no precipitation, following a period of warming highs near 32–34°C. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed bins, yet market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across warmer (24°C+) and cooler (14°C or below) extremes. The balance likely reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, minor model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and wind, and the potential for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Historical September minima average near 18°C, providing context for the current elevated baseline driven by persistent high pressure. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問