Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 17 point to a minimum near 10–13°C under clear skies and a strong southeasterly flow associated with a high-pressure ridge, which limits cloud cover and allows radiative cooling overnight while moderate winds reduce extreme surface chilling through mixing. This setup aligns with early-spring climatology, where average September lows hover around 10°C at official stations like Cape Town International, but precise readings hinge on the exact timing of the overnight minimum, local topography, and small differences in model-resolved wind speeds or dew-point depressions. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 10–12°C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread in these variables, with lower odds on 9°C or below reflecting the absence of stronger cold advection or calmer conditions that would enhance cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the pre-dawn hours will refine the final recorded value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月17日のケープタウンの最低気温は？
9月17日のケープタウンの最低気温は？
11℃ 49%
10℃ 48%
12℃ 48%
13°C 47%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
7℃以下
<1%
8℃
9%
9℃
46%
10℃
48%
11℃
49%
12℃
48%
13°C
47%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃以上
<1%
11℃ 49%
10℃ 48%
12℃ 48%
13°C 47%
新規
新規
2026/09/17
7℃以下
$80 Vol.
<1%
8℃
$422 Vol.
9%
9℃
$57 Vol.
46%
10℃
$0 Vol.
48%
11℃
$0 Vol.
49%
12℃
$0 Vol.
48%
13°C
$0 Vol.
47%
14℃
$57 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$41 Vol.
<1%
17℃以上
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 17 point to a minimum near 10–13°C under clear skies and a strong southeasterly flow associated with a high-pressure ridge, which limits cloud cover and allows radiative cooling overnight while moderate winds reduce extreme surface chilling through mixing. This setup aligns with early-spring climatology, where average September lows hover around 10°C at official stations like Cape Town International, but precise readings hinge on the exact timing of the overnight minimum, local topography, and small differences in model-resolved wind speeds or dew-point depressions. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 10–12°C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread in these variables, with lower odds on 9°C or below reflecting the absence of stronger cold advection or calmer conditions that would enhance cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the pre-dawn hours will refine the final recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$735終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 17 point to a minimum near 10–13°C under clear skies and a strong southeasterly flow associated with a high-pressure ridge, which limits cloud cover and allows radiative cooling overnight while moderate winds reduce extreme surface chilling through mixing. This setup aligns with early-spring climatology, where average September lows hover around 10°C at official stations like Cape Town International, but precise readings hinge on the exact timing of the overnight minimum, local topography, and small differences in model-resolved wind speeds or dew-point depressions. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 10–12°C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread in these variables, with lower odds on 9°C or below reflecting the absence of stronger cold advection or calmer conditions that would enhance cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the pre-dawn hours will refine the final recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$735終了日
2026/09/17マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts for Cape Town on September 17 point to a minimum near 10–13°C under clear skies and a strong southeasterly flow associated with a high-pressure ridge, which limits cloud cover and allows radiative cooling overnight while moderate winds reduce extreme surface chilling through mixing. This setup aligns with early-spring climatology, where average September lows hover around 10°C at official stations like Cape Town International, but precise readings hinge on the exact timing of the overnight minimum, local topography, and small differences in model-resolved wind speeds or dew-point depressions. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 10–12°C because ensemble guidance shows limited spread in these variables, with lower odds on 9°C or below reflecting the absence of stronger cold advection or calmer conditions that would enhance cooling. Updated model runs and surface observations through the pre-dawn hours will refine the final recorded value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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