Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 2?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,844 Vol.
$25,844 Vol.
2026/05/02
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$25,844 Vol.
$25,844 Vol.
2026/05/02
18°C or below
$961 Vol.
No
19°C
$548 Vol.
No
20°C
$567 Vol.
No
21°C
$939 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,740 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,542 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,417 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$5,075 Vol.
No
26°C
$604 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,292 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$2,159 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$25,844終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$25,844終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm a minimum air temperature of 24°C on May 2, 2026—the lowest recorded at the Observatory that day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome, as markets await final resolution based on official data. This aligns precisely with HKO's May 1 forecast under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, typical for early May when subtropical high pressure ridges maintain warm overnight lows averaging 24–26°C historically. Model consensus from multi-ensemble forecasts showed no significant cooling signals. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument audits or quality control, though HKO's rigorous protocols make this improbable; traders eye no further updates as the record stands firm.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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