Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and models such as GFS indicate typical mid-September conditions for Istanbul, with the daily minimum temperature on September 16 expected near 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 5–7 m/s. Stable high-pressure influence and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from residual humidity and cloud cover support this range, consistent with seasonal baselines around 18°C. Market-implied odds reflect genuine uncertainty in exact thresholds, as small shifts in overnight cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing could nudge the low across 16–18°C bins. Upcoming model runs and official updates will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のイスタンブールの最低気温は?
13℃以下 100%
23°C以上 100%
14℃ 40%
15°C 40%
13℃以下
100%
14℃
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17℃
40%
18℃
30%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21℃
40%
22℃
40%
23°C以上
100%
13℃以下 100%
23°C以上 100%
14℃ 40%
15°C 40%
13℃以下
100%
14℃
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17℃
40%
18℃
30%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21℃
40%
22℃
40%
23°C以上
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and models such as GFS indicate typical mid-September conditions for Istanbul, with the daily minimum temperature on September 16 expected near 17–19°C under partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 5–7 m/s. Stable high-pressure influence and limited nocturnal radiative cooling from residual humidity and cloud cover support this range, consistent with seasonal baselines around 18°C. Market-implied odds reflect genuine uncertainty in exact thresholds, as small shifts in overnight cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing could nudge the low across 16–18°C bins. Upcoming model runs and official updates will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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