Recent model runs from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on August 30 near 26–27°C amid persistent dry conditions tied to El Niño suppression of monsoon moisture. This consensus, with only light winds and partly cloudy skies expected, supports the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 24–31°C range. Historical August minima average 26–28°C, but daily variability from coastal humidity and brief cloud cover can shift overnight readings by 1–2°C. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will likely narrow trader positioning as new observational data arrives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のカラチの最低気温は?
31°C or higher 60%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C or below 48%
21°C or below
48%
22°C
14%
23°C
47%
24°C
48%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
60%
31°C or higher 60%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C or below 48%
21°C or below
48%
22°C
14%
23°C
47%
24°C
48%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model runs from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international ensembles indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on August 30 near 26–27°C amid persistent dry conditions tied to El Niño suppression of monsoon moisture. This consensus, with only light winds and partly cloudy skies expected, supports the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 24–31°C range. Historical August minima average 26–28°C, but daily variability from coastal humidity and brief cloud cover can shift overnight readings by 1–2°C. Updated forecasts ahead of resolution will likely narrow trader positioning as new observational data arrives.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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