Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月18日のロンドンの最低気温は？
6月18日のロンドンの最低気温は？
17°C 100.0%
12℃以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14℃ <1%
$41,887 Vol.
$41,887 Vol.
2026/06/18
12℃以下
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17°C
はい
18°C
いいえ
19°C
いいえ
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C以上
いいえ
17°C 100.0%
12℃以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14℃ <1%
$41,887 Vol.
$41,887 Vol.
2026/06/18
12℃以下
$500 Vol.
いいえ
13°C
$714 Vol.
いいえ
14℃
$685 Vol.
いいえ
15°C
$1,967 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$2,450 Vol.
いいえ
17°C
$5,751 Vol.
はい
18°C
$14,507 Vol.
いいえ
19°C
$853 Vol.
いいえ
20°C
$13,750 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$510 Vol.
いいえ
22°C以上
$200 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$41,887終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$41,887終了日
2026/06/18マーケット開始日
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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