Persistent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including recent heavy rainfall and widespread cloud cover on September 1, is suppressing radiative cooling and maintaining elevated nighttime humidity levels near 90 percent, anchoring the lowest temperature in Lucknow around 25–26°C. Official IMD guidance projects a minimum near 25°C under generally cloudy to overcast skies with thundershowers, while multiple models show limited diurnal range due to persistent moisture and light easterly winds. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 24–26°C outcomes from lower probabilities for 22°C or below, which would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not currently indicated. Updated forecasts and any overnight precipitation intensity shifts remain the key near-term variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のラクナウの最低気温は?
22°C 100%
24°C 100%
23°C 99%
25°C 50%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
100%
23°C
99%
24°C
100%
25°C
50%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100%
24°C 100%
23°C 99%
25°C 50%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
100%
23°C
99%
24°C
100%
25°C
50%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including recent heavy rainfall and widespread cloud cover on September 1, is suppressing radiative cooling and maintaining elevated nighttime humidity levels near 90 percent, anchoring the lowest temperature in Lucknow around 25–26°C. Official IMD guidance projects a minimum near 25°C under generally cloudy to overcast skies with thundershowers, while multiple models show limited diurnal range due to persistent moisture and light easterly winds. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 24–26°C outcomes from lower probabilities for 22°C or below, which would require clearer skies and stronger cooling not currently indicated. Updated forecasts and any overnight precipitation intensity shifts remain the key near-term variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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