Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate a stable overnight minimum of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15 under clear skies, light easterly winds near 2 m/s, and high pressure near 1020 hPa. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 26–28°C, with dew points near 16–17°C limiting further drops. Trader consensus clusters on 18°C and 19°C at 28.5% each because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat retention can shift the exact low by 1°C. Outliers such as 23°C or higher reflect scenarios with stronger advection, while sub-13°C outcomes would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger northerly flow, both currently assigned low probability in the latest runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のミラノの最低気温は？
9月15日のミラノの最低気温は？
13℃以下 52%
23℃以上 52%
22℃ 39%
18℃ 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
13℃以下
52%
14℃
18%
15°C
15%
16℃
21%
17°C
23%
18℃
29%
19℃
29%
20℃
23%
21℃
20%
22℃
39%
23℃以上
52%
13℃以下 52%
23℃以上 52%
22℃ 39%
18℃ 29%
新規
新規
2026/09/15
13℃以下
$10 Vol.
52%
14℃
$10 Vol.
18%
15°C
$50 Vol.
15%
16℃
$8 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
23%
18℃
$0 Vol.
29%
19℃
$0 Vol.
29%
20℃
$0 Vol.
23%
21℃
$50 Vol.
20%
22℃
$10 Vol.
39%
23℃以上
$10 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate a stable overnight minimum of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15 under clear skies, light easterly winds near 2 m/s, and high pressure near 1020 hPa. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 26–28°C, with dew points near 16–17°C limiting further drops. Trader consensus clusters on 18°C and 19°C at 28.5% each because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat retention can shift the exact low by 1°C. Outliers such as 23°C or higher reflect scenarios with stronger advection, while sub-13°C outcomes would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger northerly flow, both currently assigned low probability in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$148終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate a stable overnight minimum of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15 under clear skies, light easterly winds near 2 m/s, and high pressure near 1020 hPa. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 26–28°C, with dew points near 16–17°C limiting further drops. Trader consensus clusters on 18°C and 19°C at 28.5% each because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat retention can shift the exact low by 1°C. Outliers such as 23°C or higher reflect scenarios with stronger advection, while sub-13°C outcomes would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger northerly flow, both currently assigned low probability in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$148終了日
2026/09/15マーケット開始日
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETForecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS indicate a stable overnight minimum of 18–19°C in Milan on September 15 under clear skies, light easterly winds near 2 m/s, and high pressure near 1020 hPa. These conditions favor moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 26–28°C, with dew points near 16–17°C limiting further drops. Trader consensus clusters on 18°C and 19°C at 28.5% each because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat retention can shift the exact low by 1°C. Outliers such as 23°C or higher reflect scenarios with stronger advection, while sub-13°C outcomes would require unexpected cloud cover or stronger northerly flow, both currently assigned low probability in the latest runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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