Forecast consensus from multiple models places Milan's maximum temperature on September 15 near 27–28 °C under a stable high-pressure regime with light easterly flow, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover that favors daytime radiative heating. This setup aligns with the market's leading probabilities for those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of limited variability from current guidance. September's declining solar insolation and regional climatology cap extremes, while the absence of significant moisture or frontal activity reduces downside risk. Updated short-range runs and official observations on the day itself remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds if they deviate from the 26–28 °C envelope.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月15日のミラノの最高気温は?
27℃ 45%
28℃ 37%
26°C 12%
29°C 7%
21℃以下
1%
22℃
1%
23℃
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27℃
45%
28℃
37%
29°C
7%
30℃
2%
31℃以上
2%
27℃ 45%
28℃ 37%
26°C 12%
29°C 7%
21℃以下
1%
22℃
1%
23℃
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27℃
45%
28℃
37%
29°C
7%
30℃
2%
31℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from multiple models places Milan's maximum temperature on September 15 near 27–28 °C under a stable high-pressure regime with light easterly flow, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover that favors daytime radiative heating. This setup aligns with the market's leading probabilities for those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of limited variability from current guidance. September's declining solar insolation and regional climatology cap extremes, while the absence of significant moisture or frontal activity reduces downside risk. Updated short-range runs and official observations on the day itself remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds if they deviate from the 26–28 °C envelope.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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