Traders see near-even odds between a low of 9°C or below and 19°C or higher for Munich on September 14 because short-range model runs show high sensitivity to the timing of a passing frontal system and variable cloud cover. European models such as ECMWF and ICON currently indicate a mild autumnal air mass with daytime maxima near 20°C, yet overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could push the minimum several degrees lower than guidance that assumes lingering cloud or a warmer return flow. Historical September minima in the city average around 10–12°C, but recent upstream observations from the Alps and North Sea highlight the potential for either stronger nocturnal cooling or a modest warm advection. Updated model cycles and local DWD observations over the next 48 hours will likely shift the distribution as the precise steering and boundary-layer conditions become clearer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のミュンヘンの最低気温は？
9月14日のミュンヘンの最低気温は？
9℃以下 68%
19°C以上 68%
10°C 38%
11℃ 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
9℃以下
68%
10°C
38%
11℃
38%
12℃
21%
13℃
27%
14℃
26%
15°C
22%
16℃
38%
17℃
38%
18℃
38%
19°C以上
68%
9℃以下 68%
19°C以上 68%
10°C 38%
11℃ 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
9℃以下
$0 Vol.
68%
10°C
$0 Vol.
38%
11℃
$0 Vol.
38%
12℃
$0 Vol.
21%
13℃
$0 Vol.
27%
14℃
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16℃
$0 Vol.
38%
17℃
$0 Vol.
38%
18℃
$0 Vol.
38%
19°C以上
$0 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between a low of 9°C or below and 19°C or higher for Munich on September 14 because short-range model runs show high sensitivity to the timing of a passing frontal system and variable cloud cover. European models such as ECMWF and ICON currently indicate a mild autumnal air mass with daytime maxima near 20°C, yet overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could push the minimum several degrees lower than guidance that assumes lingering cloud or a warmer return flow. Historical September minima in the city average around 10–12°C, but recent upstream observations from the Alps and North Sea highlight the potential for either stronger nocturnal cooling or a modest warm advection. Updated model cycles and local DWD observations over the next 48 hours will likely shift the distribution as the precise steering and boundary-layer conditions become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds between a low of 9°C or below and 19°C or higher for Munich on September 14 because short-range model runs show high sensitivity to the timing of a passing frontal system and variable cloud cover. European models such as ECMWF and ICON currently indicate a mild autumnal air mass with daytime maxima near 20°C, yet overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could push the minimum several degrees lower than guidance that assumes lingering cloud or a warmer return flow. Historical September minima in the city average around 10–12°C, but recent upstream observations from the Alps and North Sea highlight the potential for either stronger nocturnal cooling or a modest warm advection. Updated model cycles and local DWD observations over the next 48 hours will likely shift the distribution as the precise steering and boundary-layer conditions become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTraders see near-even odds between a low of 9°C or below and 19°C or higher for Munich on September 14 because short-range model runs show high sensitivity to the timing of a passing frontal system and variable cloud cover. European models such as ECMWF and ICON currently indicate a mild autumnal air mass with daytime maxima near 20°C, yet overnight radiative cooling under clear skies could push the minimum several degrees lower than guidance that assumes lingering cloud or a warmer return flow. Historical September minima in the city average around 10–12°C, but recent upstream observations from the Alps and North Sea highlight the potential for either stronger nocturnal cooling or a modest warm advection. Updated model cycles and local DWD observations over the next 48 hours will likely shift the distribution as the precise steering and boundary-layer conditions become clearer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問