Recent forecasts from European models indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C in Munich on September 3, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight and mild westerly advection maintaining surface temperatures above seasonal norms. With an average historical low of 12°C for the date, current conditions reflect a warmer pattern, though model runs show spread in exact overnight minima depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters around 14°C as the implied mode, with the 31% probability on 11°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in late-night cooling potential ahead of the next model update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のミュンヘンの最低気温は？
9月3日のミュンヘンの最低気温は？
14°C 36%
11°C or below 31%
13°C 28%
15°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
11°C or below
31%
12°C
23%
13°C
28%
14°C
36%
15°C
26%
16°C
5%
17°C
3%
18°C
15%
19°C
7%
20°C
7%
21°C or higher
7%
14°C 36%
11°C or below 31%
13°C 28%
15°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
11°C or below
$26 Vol.
31%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
36%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$30 Vol.
5%
17°C
$100 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
7%
20°C
$0 Vol.
7%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C in Munich on September 3, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight and mild westerly advection maintaining surface temperatures above seasonal norms. With an average historical low of 12°C for the date, current conditions reflect a warmer pattern, though model runs show spread in exact overnight minima depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters around 14°C as the implied mode, with the 31% probability on 11°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in late-night cooling potential ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$156終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C in Munich on September 3, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight and mild westerly advection maintaining surface temperatures above seasonal norms. With an average historical low of 12°C for the date, current conditions reflect a warmer pattern, though model runs show spread in exact overnight minima depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters around 14°C as the implied mode, with the 31% probability on 11°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in late-night cooling potential ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$156終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from European models indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C in Munich on September 3, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight and mild westerly advection maintaining surface temperatures above seasonal norms. With an average historical low of 12°C for the date, current conditions reflect a warmer pattern, though model runs show spread in exact overnight minima depending on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters around 14°C as the implied mode, with the 31% probability on 11°C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in late-night cooling potential ahead of the next model update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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