Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC overnight lows near 70–73°F amid persistent high humidity and dew points in the low 70s, which suppress radiative cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Trader consensus has shifted toward 66–69°F for August 21 as models signal a subtle wind shift and reduced cloud cover that could enhance overnight temperature drops, though urban heat effects and residual moisture limit deeper cooling. This aligns with typical late-August climatology where averages hover near 67°F, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 41.5% implied probability reflecting measured model agreement and limited downside risk from stalled fronts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
8月21日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
68～69°F 42%
66～67°F 25%
70〜71°F 14%
72～73°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
57°F以下
<1%
58〜59°F
1%
60〜61°F
2%
62〜63°F
5%
64〜65°F
7%
66～67°F
25%
68～69°F
42%
70〜71°F
14%
72～73°F
8%
74～75°F
1%
76°F以上
1%
68～69°F 42%
66～67°F 25%
70〜71°F 14%
72～73°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
57°F以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
58〜59°F
$10 Vol.
1%
60〜61°F
$15 Vol.
2%
62〜63°F
$51 Vol.
5%
64〜65°F
$97 Vol.
7%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
25%
68～69°F
$51 Vol.
42%
70〜71°F
$121 Vol.
14%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
8%
74～75°F
$15 Vol.
1%
76°F以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC overnight lows near 70–73°F amid persistent high humidity and dew points in the low 70s, which suppress radiative cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Trader consensus has shifted toward 66–69°F for August 21 as models signal a subtle wind shift and reduced cloud cover that could enhance overnight temperature drops, though urban heat effects and residual moisture limit deeper cooling. This aligns with typical late-August climatology where averages hover near 67°F, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 41.5% implied probability reflecting measured model agreement and limited downside risk from stalled fronts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
音量
$320終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC overnight lows near 70–73°F amid persistent high humidity and dew points in the low 70s, which suppress radiative cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Trader consensus has shifted toward 66–69°F for August 21 as models signal a subtle wind shift and reduced cloud cover that could enhance overnight temperature drops, though urban heat effects and residual moisture limit deeper cooling. This aligns with typical late-August climatology where averages hover near 67°F, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 41.5% implied probability reflecting measured model agreement and limited downside risk from stalled fronts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$320終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC overnight lows near 70–73°F amid persistent high humidity and dew points in the low 70s, which suppress radiative cooling under a warm, moist air mass. Trader consensus has shifted toward 66–69°F for August 21 as models signal a subtle wind shift and reduced cloud cover that could enhance overnight temperature drops, though urban heat effects and residual moisture limit deeper cooling. This aligns with typical late-August climatology where averages hover near 67°F, with the 68–69°F bin leading at 41.5% implied probability reflecting measured model agreement and limited downside risk from stalled fronts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問