Recent European model consensus and GFS runs point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, producing a Paris minimum near 13–14 °C on September 24. High pressure dominates with no frontal systems or significant moisture, limiting both extreme cooling and warming. Historical climatology shows an average low of 10.8 °C, yet current conditions remain several degrees above normal. Traders assign equal weight across 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or model bias near resolution time can move the exact low by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from NCEP and ECMWF through the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月24日のパリの最低気温は？
9月24日のパリの最低気温は？
10°C 38%
15°C 38%
13℃ 27%
14℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/24
9℃以下
7%
10°C
38%
11℃
22%
12℃
26%
13℃
27%
14℃
20%
15°C
38%
16℃
3%
17℃
2%
18°C
2%
19℃以上
2%
10°C 38%
15°C 38%
13℃ 27%
14℃ 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/24
9℃以下
$0 Vol.
7%
10°C
$0 Vol.
38%
11℃
$0 Vol.
22%
12℃
$0 Vol.
26%
13℃
$0 Vol.
27%
14℃
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16℃
$0 Vol.
3%
17℃
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus and GFS runs point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, producing a Paris minimum near 13–14 °C on September 24. High pressure dominates with no frontal systems or significant moisture, limiting both extreme cooling and warming. Historical climatology shows an average low of 10.8 °C, yet current conditions remain several degrees above normal. Traders assign equal weight across 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or model bias near resolution time can move the exact low by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from NCEP and ECMWF through the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/24マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus and GFS runs point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, producing a Paris minimum near 13–14 °C on September 24. High pressure dominates with no frontal systems or significant moisture, limiting both extreme cooling and warming. Historical climatology shows an average low of 10.8 °C, yet current conditions remain several degrees above normal. Traders assign equal weight across 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or model bias near resolution time can move the exact low by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from NCEP and ECMWF through the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/24マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent European model consensus and GFS runs point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, producing a Paris minimum near 13–14 °C on September 24. High pressure dominates with no frontal systems or significant moisture, limiting both extreme cooling and warming. Historical climatology shows an average low of 10.8 °C, yet current conditions remain several degrees above normal. Traders assign equal weight across 10–15 °C because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or model bias near resolution time can move the exact low by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from NCEP and ECMWF through the next 48 hours will refine the range ahead of market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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