Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Paris through September 22, supporting overnight radiative cooling but limiting deeper chill. This setup points to a daily minimum near 12°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, with daytime highs reaching 25°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus around 10–11°C likely reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight minima and typical late-September variability, though current consensus shows low risk of sub-10°C readings absent an unexpected cold advection. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日のパリの最低気温は？
9月22日のパリの最低気温は？
10°C 40%
9℃ 37%
12°C 36%
8°C 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
7°C以下
25%
8°C
32%
9℃
37%
10°C
40%
11℃
24%
12°C
36%
13℃
32%
14°C
5%
15℃
2%
16℃
3%
17°C以上
2%
10°C 40%
9℃ 37%
12°C 36%
8°C 32%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
7°C以下
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
32%
9℃
$0 Vol.
37%
10°C
$145 Vol.
40%
11℃
$20 Vol.
24%
12°C
$0 Vol.
36%
13℃
$0 Vol.
32%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15℃
$0 Vol.
2%
16℃
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Paris through September 22, supporting overnight radiative cooling but limiting deeper chill. This setup points to a daily minimum near 12°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, with daytime highs reaching 25°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus around 10–11°C likely reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight minima and typical late-September variability, though current consensus shows low risk of sub-10°C readings absent an unexpected cold advection. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$165終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Paris through September 22, supporting overnight radiative cooling but limiting deeper chill. This setup points to a daily minimum near 12°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, with daytime highs reaching 25°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus around 10–11°C likely reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight minima and typical late-September variability, though current consensus shows low risk of sub-10°C readings absent an unexpected cold advection. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$165終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Paris through September 22, supporting overnight radiative cooling but limiting deeper chill. This setup points to a daily minimum near 12°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, with daytime highs reaching 25°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus around 10–11°C likely reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight minima and typical late-September variability, though current consensus shows low risk of sub-10°C readings absent an unexpected cold advection. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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