Recent INMET forecasts for São Paulo on August 21 projected a minimum of 13°C under a cold air mass with clear skies favoring radiative cooling overnight, aligning with the near-even market probabilities clustered around 11–14°C. Traders weigh subtle differences in local station microclimates, exact timing of the nocturnal minimum, and potential model revisions from regional reanalysis data, as small variations in wind speed or cloud cover can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 13°C provide context, while the absence of major recent cold-front updates keeps resolution dependent on the final official INMET bulletin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
8月21日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
15°C 100%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,543 Vol.
$2,543 Vol.
2026/08/21
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,543 Vol.
$2,543 Vol.
2026/08/21
9°C or below
$327 Vol.
No
10°C
$20 Vol.
No
11°C
$114 Vol.
No
12°C
$61 Vol.
No
13°C
$253 Vol.
No
14°C
$32 Vol.
No
15°C
$295 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$177 Vol.
No
17°C
$256 Vol.
No
18°C
$154 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$853 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent INMET forecasts for São Paulo on August 21 projected a minimum of 13°C under a cold air mass with clear skies favoring radiative cooling overnight, aligning with the near-even market probabilities clustered around 11–14°C. Traders weigh subtle differences in local station microclimates, exact timing of the nocturnal minimum, and potential model revisions from regional reanalysis data, as small variations in wind speed or cloud cover can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 13°C provide context, while the absence of major recent cold-front updates keeps resolution dependent on the final official INMET bulletin.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
音量
$2,543終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent INMET forecasts for São Paulo on August 21 projected a minimum of 13°C under a cold air mass with clear skies favoring radiative cooling overnight, aligning with the near-even market probabilities clustered around 11–14°C. Traders weigh subtle differences in local station microclimates, exact timing of the nocturnal minimum, and potential model revisions from regional reanalysis data, as small variations in wind speed or cloud cover can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 13°C provide context, while the absence of major recent cold-front updates keeps resolution dependent on the final official INMET bulletin.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,543終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent INMET forecasts for São Paulo on August 21 projected a minimum of 13°C under a cold air mass with clear skies favoring radiative cooling overnight, aligning with the near-even market probabilities clustered around 11–14°C. Traders weigh subtle differences in local station microclimates, exact timing of the nocturnal minimum, and potential model revisions from regional reanalysis data, as small variations in wind speed or cloud cover can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 13°C provide context, while the absence of major recent cold-front updates keeps resolution dependent on the final official INMET bulletin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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よくある質問