**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 12, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent numerical weather prediction output from global and regional models.** Under a stable high-pressure regime with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity (around 60-80%), nocturnal radiative cooling is expected to bottom out near this threshold. Official forecasts from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance and international ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) project overnight lows of 23-24°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. This positioning draws from real-time observational trends showing daytime highs near 29-30°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences. The primary uncertainty stems from potential microscale variations at the official reporting station or last-minute model adjustments to cloud cover or wind, though current data indicate low likelihood of deviation below 23°C or above 25°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月12日の上海の最低気温は？
9月12日の上海の最低気温は？
24℃ 93%
23℃ 5%
22℃ 2.0%
21℃ <1%
$20,788 Vol.
$20,788 Vol.
2026/09/12
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
1%
22℃
2%
23℃
5%
24℃
93%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
24℃ 93%
23℃ 5%
22℃ 2.0%
21℃ <1%
$20,788 Vol.
$20,788 Vol.
2026/09/12
18℃以下
$185 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$155 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$2,061 Vol.
1%
22℃
$2,046 Vol.
2%
23℃
$3,701 Vol.
5%
24℃
$8,171 Vol.
93%
25°C
$3,808 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$186 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$165 Vol.
<1%
28℃以上
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 12, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent numerical weather prediction output from global and regional models.**
Under a stable high-pressure regime with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity (around 60-80%), nocturnal radiative cooling is expected to bottom out near this threshold. Official forecasts from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance and international ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) project overnight lows of 23-24°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region.
This positioning draws from real-time observational trends showing daytime highs near 29-30°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences. The primary uncertainty stems from potential microscale variations at the official reporting station or last-minute model adjustments to cloud cover or wind, though current data indicate low likelihood of deviation below 23°C or above 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$20,788終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 12, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent numerical weather prediction output from global and regional models.**
Under a stable high-pressure regime with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity (around 60-80%), nocturnal radiative cooling is expected to bottom out near this threshold. Official forecasts from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance and international ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) project overnight lows of 23-24°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region.
This positioning draws from real-time observational trends showing daytime highs near 29-30°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences. The primary uncertainty stems from potential microscale variations at the official reporting station or last-minute model adjustments to cloud cover or wind, though current data indicate low likelihood of deviation below 23°C or above 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20,788終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 12, 2026, at 92.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent numerical weather prediction output from global and regional models.** Under a stable high-pressure regime with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity (around 60-80%), nocturnal radiative cooling is expected to bottom out near this threshold. Official forecasts from sources aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance and international ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) project overnight lows of 23-24°C, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. This positioning draws from real-time observational trends showing daytime highs near 29-30°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences. The primary uncertainty stems from potential microscale variations at the official reporting station or last-minute model adjustments to cloud cover or wind, though current data indicate low likelihood of deviation below 23°C or above 25°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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