**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, international agencies like the Met Office, and private providers such as WeatherBug and LUFT TIME converge on a daily minimum of 21–24°C for Shanghai on September 22, 2026, with most guidance centering on 22–24°C.** This narrow range and slight model spread explain the near-even split between 23°C and 24°C (each at 37.5% implied probability), followed by 22°C at 14.5%. Key drivers include light northeast to east winds under generally stable high pressure, which limit mixing and allow modest nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C. Overnight cloud cover and humidity levels around 70–85% moderate temperature drops, while Shanghai’s urban heat island effect adds a small warming bias to official station readings. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, wind speed (typically 2–7 km/h), and boundary-layer moisture between runs such as GFS and regional models create the uncertainty separating the top outcomes. No significant weather systems or rapid changes are expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the overnight period will likely refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日の上海の最低気温は？
9月22日の上海の最低気温は？
23℃ 39%
24°C 32%
22℃ 21%
25°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
2%
22℃
21%
23℃
39%
24°C
32%
25°C
13%
26℃
2%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
<1%
23℃ 39%
24°C 32%
22℃ 21%
25°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
18℃以下
$65 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$65 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$70 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$278 Vol.
2%
22℃
$715 Vol.
21%
23℃
$764 Vol.
39%
24°C
$1,890 Vol.
32%
25°C
$255 Vol.
13%
26℃
$0 Vol.
2%
27℃
$15 Vol.
<1%
28℃以上
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, international agencies like the Met Office, and private providers such as WeatherBug and LUFT TIME converge on a daily minimum of 21–24°C for Shanghai on September 22, 2026, with most guidance centering on 22–24°C.** This narrow range and slight model spread explain the near-even split between 23°C and 24°C (each at 37.5% implied probability), followed by 22°C at 14.5%.
Key drivers include light northeast to east winds under generally stable high pressure, which limit mixing and allow modest nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C. Overnight cloud cover and humidity levels around 70–85% moderate temperature drops, while Shanghai’s urban heat island effect adds a small warming bias to official station readings. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, wind speed (typically 2–7 km/h), and boundary-layer moisture between runs such as GFS and regional models create the uncertainty separating the top outcomes.
No significant weather systems or rapid changes are expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the overnight period will likely refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$4,132終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, international agencies like the Met Office, and private providers such as WeatherBug and LUFT TIME converge on a daily minimum of 21–24°C for Shanghai on September 22, 2026, with most guidance centering on 22–24°C.** This narrow range and slight model spread explain the near-even split between 23°C and 24°C (each at 37.5% implied probability), followed by 22°C at 14.5%.
Key drivers include light northeast to east winds under generally stable high pressure, which limit mixing and allow modest nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C. Overnight cloud cover and humidity levels around 70–85% moderate temperature drops, while Shanghai’s urban heat island effect adds a small warming bias to official station readings. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, wind speed (typically 2–7 km/h), and boundary-layer moisture between runs such as GFS and regional models create the uncertainty separating the top outcomes.
No significant weather systems or rapid changes are expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the overnight period will likely refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,132終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration, international agencies like the Met Office, and private providers such as WeatherBug and LUFT TIME converge on a daily minimum of 21–24°C for Shanghai on September 22, 2026, with most guidance centering on 22–24°C.** This narrow range and slight model spread explain the near-even split between 23°C and 24°C (each at 37.5% implied probability), followed by 22°C at 14.5%. Key drivers include light northeast to east winds under generally stable high pressure, which limit mixing and allow modest nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29–30°C. Overnight cloud cover and humidity levels around 70–85% moderate temperature drops, while Shanghai’s urban heat island effect adds a small warming bias to official station readings. Minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, wind speed (typically 2–7 km/h), and boundary-layer moisture between runs such as GFS and regional models create the uncertainty separating the top outcomes. No significant weather systems or rapid changes are expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings closer to the overnight period will likely refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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