Current Environment Canada forecasts for Toronto point to overnight lows of 14–17°C on August 21–22 under mainly clear to partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs near 25°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 11–13°C or below because subtle differences in radiational cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing from light winds, and dew-point depressions can shift the actual minimum by several degrees. Clear conditions enhance surface heat loss after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or advection of slightly cooler air from upstream systems introduces downside risk. Model consensus remains tight on the broad warm pattern persisting through late August, yet short-term variability in local observations keeps probabilities for the precise low closely matched across the 9–13°C range. Updated NHC and regional model runs tonight will further refine the overnight evolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のトロントの最低気温は?
9℃以下 83%
13°C 71%
10°C 44%
12℃ 39%
9℃以下
83%
10°C
44%
11℃
18%
12℃
39%
13°C
71%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16℃
26%
17℃
27%
18℃
33%
19°C以上
30%
9℃以下 83%
13°C 71%
10°C 44%
12℃ 39%
9℃以下
83%
10°C
44%
11℃
18%
12℃
39%
13°C
71%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16℃
26%
17℃
27%
18℃
33%
19°C以上
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Environment Canada forecasts for Toronto point to overnight lows of 14–17°C on August 21–22 under mainly clear to partly cloudy skies, with daytime highs near 25°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 11–13°C or below because subtle differences in radiational cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing from light winds, and dew-point depressions can shift the actual minimum by several degrees. Clear conditions enhance surface heat loss after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or advection of slightly cooler air from upstream systems introduces downside risk. Model consensus remains tight on the broad warm pattern persisting through late August, yet short-term variability in local observations keeps probabilities for the precise low closely matched across the 9–13°C range. Updated NHC and regional model runs tonight will further refine the overnight evolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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